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The latest New York Times/Siena College poll showed a tightening race between Biden and Trump. Trump now leads Biden 46% to 45% among registered voters, a decline from February's 48% to 43% lead. Biden is winning over more of his 2020 supporters and boasts leads with women and suburbanites. AdvertisementPresident Joe Biden has gained ground on former President Donald Trump in the latest New York Times/Siena College poll, cutting into a persistent lead that the ex-president has held for months. Last month, both Biden and Trump secured enough delegates to become the presumptive nominees ahead of their party conventions and the November election.
Persons: Trump, Biden, , Joe Biden, Donald Trump Organizations: New York Times, Siena, Biden, Trump, Service, Siena College, Business
How Voters Describe the 2024 Election in One Word
  + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Camille Baker | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: 1 min
It’s no secret that many voters are not looking forward to the election in November. A New York Times/Siena College poll from February found that 19 percent of voters held an unfavorable view of both President Biden and former President Donald J. Trump. At the same time, the prospect of a new president is exciting for many, and nearly half of Republican primary voters are enthusiastic with Mr. Trump as their nominee, the Times/Siena poll found. About a quarter of Democratic primary voters said the same about Mr. Biden. To dig a little deeper, we asked respondents in that Times/Siena poll to summarize their feelings about the upcoming rematch in just one word.
Persons: Biden, Donald J, Trump Organizations: New York Times, Siena, Trump, Gallup, Republican, Times, Democratic, Mr Locations: Siena
How I Learned to Love the Rerun Election
  + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( Jess Bidgood | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
When our pollsters recently asked voters how they felt about the coming election, they heard words that could also describe rancid garbage, personal regret or a meteor headed for Earth. “Lousy,” offered Joe Ruddach, 61, the owner of auto and coffee businesses who lives in Spokane, Wash., when I called him last week. He added words like “anxious” and “stressed” for good measure. “I wish they could get younger people,” he said with a sigh, “or someone that could bring people together.”I’m the new host of this newsletter, and I get it. The rematch between President Biden and former President Donald Trump feels inherently tired, or perhaps inescapably depressing.
Persons: , Joe Ruddach, Biden, Donald Trump Organizations: New York Times, Siena College Locations: Spokane
Republicans who get their news from nonconservative mainstream media outlets are less likely to support Donald J. Trump than those who follow conservative outlets. And sizable numbers from the first group say they think Mr. Trump acted criminally, according to a recent New York Times/Siena College poll. This division could affect his standing among Republicans in the general electorate — a decidedly different group from G.O.P. One hundred percent of the Republicans in our poll who said they got their news from Fox News or other conservative sources said they intended to support Mr. Trump in the general election. This stands in contrast to Republicans whose main media sources are outlets like CNN and major news organizations: Seventy-nine percent of them plan to vote for Mr. Trump, and 13 percent said they planned to vote for President Biden.
Persons: Donald J, Trump, Biden Organizations: New York Times, Siena, Republicans, Fox News, CNN, Mr
Biden faces concerns about his age as he begins a tough general election campaign. A newly released general election ad attempts a "Morning in America" kind of message. "Under the leadership of President Reagan, our country is prouder, and stronger, and better," the narrator says. Biden's own set of challengesIn November 1984, Biden won a third term representing Delaware in the Senate. But with a general election campaign that'll stretch for months, this could change.)
Persons: Biden, , Joe Biden's, Donald Trump —, hasn't, Ronald Reagan, Here's, Reagan, Walter Mondale, Trump, Mondale, Megan Varner Organizations: Service, GOP, Democratic, New York Times, Siena, Biden, Times, Gallup, Trump, Independents Locations: America, Georgia, Michigan, Washington, United States, Delaware, Atlanta ,, States, Siena
A treasure trove for Biden watchers and historiansIn the interview, Biden speaks at length and fluently, easily recalling in-depth details about his vice presidency, family life and lore. One good week does not make a campaignOne person not ready to let the age issue go is Trump, who himself is 77. The former president’s focus on Biden’s age reflects the fact that one good week will not change a harsh reality of the coming eight months. Outside Washington and the self-contained world of politics and campaigns, concerns about Biden’s age will be hard to shift. The age issue was rumbling long before it became a major campaign issue.
Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Robert Hur’s, Donald Trump, Beau, Hur, Trump, He’s, Jill Biden, there’s, Scott Fitzgerald, Mr, ” Hur, , – Biden, Alabama Sen, Katie Britt, “ I’m, ” Biden’s, president’s, , CNN’s MJ Lee, – it’s, who’s Organizations: CNN, Republican, Democratic, Wisconsin, GOP, Mar, Biden, Alabama, Trump, Air Force, New York Times, Siena College, Union, White House Locations: Mexico, Egypt, Maryland, Delaware, Mongolia, Scranton, Pennsylvania, Thursday’s, Washington, Siena, State
A majority of Hispanics, and even a plurality of Black voters, said Biden’s policies would cause inflation to rise, the survey found. You can’t not make the contrast and comparison.”These negative retrospective assessments of the Biden and Trump economic records create huge headwinds for the president. “Voters—even past Biden voters who disapprove of his economic record—clearly reject what Trump and Republicans are offering,” Democratic pollster Margie Omero said in an email. After voters were exposed to Biden’s populist arguments, assessments of his economic record improved in the group’s polling, Clark said. But even after hearing that case, most voters in the group’s surveys still gave Biden negative marks for his economic performance, the study found.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Biden –, , , Danielle Deiseroth, West Virginia Sen, Joe Manchin, Shawn Fain, Evelyn Hockstein, Adam Green, Michael Tyler, Republican pollster Micah Roberts, It’s, Jim McLaughlin, ” McLaughlin, Roberts, ” Roberts, can’t, ” Tyler, Margie Omero, , Bobby Clark, Clark Organizations: CNN, GOP, Trump, Teamsters, Democratic, ACA, West, United Auto Workers, Biden, CNBC, Social Security, Republican, White, NBC News, New York Times, Siena College, CBS, Union, Locations: Wisconsin, Michigan, Belleville , Michigan, Scranton , Pennsylvania, Democratic, State, Biden’s
Joe Biden has launched a $30 million ad campaign where he makes light of the concerns over his age. AdvertisementJoe Biden pokes fun at concerns about his age in a new $30 million TV and digital ad blitz. AdvertisementRepublican frontrunner and former president Donald Trump is running for reelection aged 77. Joe Biden and Donald Trump are effectively the same age. "I'm Joe Biden, and I approve this message," he declares.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, , Biden, Harris, Hillary Clinton, it's, , el65gxRT1M — Hillary Clinton, Trump, Donald Trump —, I'm Joe Biden, I've Organizations: Service, New York Times, Siena College, Biden, Democratic, ESPN, TNT, Comedy Central, FX Locations: Thursday's State, @HillaryClinton, America
Opinion | Fine, Call It a Comeback
  + stars: | 2024-03-10 | by ( Ezra Klein | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
So far, the Biden team has been more sure-footed attacking Donald Trump’s threat to democracy than it has been defending Biden’s incumbency. By virtually any measure save food prices, Biden is presiding over a strong economy — stronger, by far, than most peer countries. As Noah Smith has noted, the Biden economy looks far better than Ronald Reagan’s “Morning in America”: Unemployment is lower, inflation is lower, interest rates are lower, stock market returns are better. The most recent Times/Siena poll found that 74 percent of registered voters rated the economy either “poor” or “fair.” By a 15-point margin, voters said Trump’s policies helped them personally. In November of 2020, unemployment was 6.7 percent and Trump had just turned a White House celebration into a superspreader event.
Persons: Joe Biden, you’re, he’s, Here’s, that’s, Biden, Donald Trump’s, Noah Smith, Ronald Reagan’s, they’re Organizations: Union, Trump Locations: America ”, Siena
Why it will be tough for Biden to defeat Trump
  + stars: | 2024-03-09 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
Joe Biden and Donald Trump are set to face off in the first presidential rematch since 1956. It’s that a lead of any margin for Trump was unheard of during the 2020 campaign – not a single poll that met CNN’s standards for publication showed Trump leading Biden nationally. It’s possible that if consumer sentiment continues to improve or border crossings decline, Biden could pick up steam against Trump. This means that it isn’t enough for Biden merely to win voters who dislike both men. For more people to turn against Trump, Biden’s best hope may lie with the four criminal indictments against the former president.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, It’s, Biden, Trump, KFF, , I’ve, isn’t, it’s, I’m, George H.W, George H.W . Bush Organizations: CNN, Trump, The New York Times, Siena College, CBS, Fox News, Street, Biden, Electoral College (, Democratic, Electoral College, New, New York Times Locations: Electoral College ( Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Arizona , Georgia, Nevada, Michigan, George H.W ., New York
Read previewPresident Joe Biden on Thursday used his State of the Union to take concerns about his age head on. Advertisement"Now some other people my age see differently, the American story of revenge, resentment, and retribution," Biden said. "My fellow Americans, the issue facing our nation isn't how old we are: It's about how old our ideas are," he said. Polling shows that even in this hyper-partisan era, Americans broadly agree in their concerns about Biden's age. Democrats also bristle about the extent of concerns about Biden's age compared to former President Donald Trump, the man Biden surpassed to become the oldest president.
Persons: , Joe Biden, Biden, I've, Donald Trump, Robert Hur's, Hur, Obama, Hillary Clinton, Trump's, Trump, Clinton Organizations: Service, Union, Business, New York Times, Siena College
9 to 0 — I’m going to say that again — 9 to 0, ruled that states can’t keep Donald Trump off their ballots. It’s how — Trump has said to his loyalists, I am your retribution, so maybe we should just look at this as a blueprint for retribution. He’s going to end up — when he gives his big convention speech, he’s going to end up making promises on economic policy, domestic policy, and so on. ross douthatSo here’s why I’m sort of — Carlos, especially to your point — like, trying to focus us on the sharpest possible conflicts. But if most of the country’s political and emotional energy is instead focused on Trump himself, rather than real, actual debates, then I think Trump is winning, period, and the country is losing.
Persons: carlos lozada, polgreen Wow, ross douthat, lydia polgreen, Kiefer Sutherland, carlos lozada Totally, michelle cottle Perfect, lydia polgreen You’re, Kiefer, I’m Ross Douthat, michelle cottle I’m Michelle Cottle, carlos lozada I’m Carlos Lozada, Lydia Polgreen, michelle cottle Chin, Biden, lydia polgreen It’s, , can’t, Donald Trump, Grover Cleveland, michelle cottle, Jesus, Donald Trump’s, Carlos Lozada, it’s, Carlos, ross, carlos lozada You, , Trump, Nikki Haley, carlos lozada Yes, He’s, United States — carlos lozada, carlos lozada Harold Meyerson, , Harold — carlos lozada —, michelle cottle —, — Trump, Trumpism, lydia polgreen Trump, carlos lozada —, part’s, michelle cottle You’re, Lydia, let’s, Michelle, — ross douthat Michelle, michelle cottle Oh, Hillary Clinton, — ross, lydia polgreen Get, michelle cottle Mexico’s, Mike Shear, Julie Davis’s, ” ross douthat, carlos lozada Michelle, michelle cottle I’m, George Floyd, I’m — ross, polgreen, I’m, — michelle cottle, he’s, lydia polgreen I’m, Dobbs, ross douthat Carlos, we’ve, unquote, carlos lozada Well, carlos lozada He’s, — carlos lozada Boo, Matt Iglesias, That’ll, that’ll, Peter Navarro, doesn’t, there’ll, lydia polgreen There’ll, carlos lozada Ross, there’s, ” michelle cottle, lydia polgreen Couldn’t, John Roberts, Peter Baker, Susan Glasser’s, Maggie Haberman’s, — michelle cottle Beat, ross douthat —, It’s, Asli Aydintasbas, she’s, Ross, Viktor Orbán, Joe Biden, ideologues, ross douthat Lydia, — carlos lozada, ross douthat Go, nope — ross, Miley Cyrus, it’s Truman, I’ve, lydia polgreen There’s, Bilbo, Martin Freeman, michelle cottle Big, michelle cottle Carlos, We’ve, carlos lozada You’re, We’ll, lydia polgreen Bye Organizations: New York, Republican, New York Times, Siena College, Trump, Heritage Foundation, Leadership, GOP, Republicans, HHS, Department of Health, Human Services, Department of Life, CDC, Department of Justice, Justice Department, National Guard, of Homeland Security, Democrats, Politico, America, United States Constitution, Swans, East, Brooklyn, Northwest Missouri State University, carlos lozada Business Locations: New, America, Douthat, , Washington, United States, lydia polgreen Get Mexico, Francisco, China, Turkish, Turkey, Manhattan, Brooklyn
The 2020 Election Is Back
  + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
To me, that’s the only real takeaway from Super Tuesday, when President Biden and Donald J. Trump won nearly all of the delegates at stake. The general election is about to begin. On paper, Mr. Biden ought to be the favorite. Yet according to the polls, Mr. Trump begins the general election campaign in the lead. He also leads in most national polls over the last month, including a New York Times/Siena College poll last weekend.
Persons: It’s Biden, Trump, Biden, Donald J, He’s, Trump’s Organizations: New York Times, Siena, Biden, Trump Locations: Super, Michigan , Nevada , Arizona, Georgia
Listen and follow The DailyApple Podcasts | Spotify | Amazon MusicMillions of voters in states across the country cast their ballots in the presidential primary on Super Tuesday, leaving little doubt that the November election will be a rematch between President Biden and former President Donald J. Trump. But in a race that is increasingly inevitable, a New York Times/Siena College poll found a critical group of voters who are making the outcome of that race anything but certain. Nate Cohn, The Times’s chief political analyst, explains who these voters are and why they present a particular threat to Mr. Biden.
Persons: Biden, Donald J, Nate Cohn Organizations: Spotify, Trump, New York Times, Siena College
The latest national polls show President Joe Biden's lead over Donald Trump slipping away. Biden's approval rating is shrinking, and Trump now leads in several polls of likely voters. AdvertisementSuper Tuesday is over — and with it any real prospect that anyone bar President Joe Biden and Donald Trump will take their party's nominations. AdvertisementFour major national polls released this week show former President Donald Trump ahead of Biden, with Trump's lead ranging from two to five points among registered voters. While the race is tight and the road to November is long, Trump appears to have the upper hand for now.
Persons: Joe Biden's, Donald Trump, Trump, , Joe Biden, Nikki Hayley, Biden, Schoen Cooperman, YouGov, — Biden, Michael Tyler Organizations: Service, Democratic, Schoen Cooperman Research, weekend's New York Times, Siena College, Fox News, CBS, Trump, Biden, Politico Locations: weekend's, Quinnipiac
New York CNN —The New York Times is facing a sustained wave of backlash. It is your agenda.”The Times is, of course, far from the only news organization that has faced criticism over how it has covered the 2024 race. There is a mountain of thorny issues at the doorstep of outlets like The Times — and often there is no clear answer. For example, after the 2020 election, the conventional wisdom was that the press should largely ignore Trump’s antics. “But if Democrats lose to Trump after all THAT coverage, the fault will not be in the media, but in themselves.”
Persons: Gray, Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden’s, ” Jeff Jarvis, CUNY Craig, ” Jarvis, MSNBC can’t, newsrooms, Biden, Harry Enten, Enten, , ” Clara Jeffery, Mother Jones, , ” Bill Carter, Carter, ” Carter Organizations: New York CNN, The New York Times, The, Times, Biden, Trump, Siena College, CUNY, CUNY Craig Newmark Graduate School of Journalism, “ NY Times, The Times, ., CNN, MSNBC Locations: New York, American
Among registered voters nationwide, 26 percent believe the economy is good or excellent, according to polling in late February by The New York Times and Siena College. The movement occurred disproportionately among older Democrats, a constituency already likely to vote for Mr. Biden. And the share of voters saying they approve of the job Mr. Biden is doing in office has actually fallen, to 36 percent in the latest poll, from 39 percent in July. Inflation has pervaded economic sentiment since mid-2022, confronting voters daily with the price of everything from eggs to car insurance. Nearly two-thirds of registered voters in the Times/Siena poll rated the price of food and consumer goods as poor.
Persons: Biden doesn’t, Mr, Biden Organizations: The New York Times, Siena College, Times Locations: Siena
As he was charged with more crimes and as the trial dates drew closer, the share of voters who said he had committed crimes ticked up. The Trump team has pushed to stall the trials as much as possible, hoping to delay any verdicts until after the general election in November. The share of Americans who say that Mr. Trump committed serious federal crimes, steadily on the rise since the fall of 2022, has declined since December, the latest New York Times/Siena College poll found. Voters across the political spectrum are now less likely to say that Mr. Trump acted criminally. Democrats are 7 percentage points less likely to say that they think Mr. Trump committed crimes, while the share of political independents who said the same is down 9 percentage points.
Persons: Donald J, Trump Organizations: Trump, New York Times, Siena College, Republicans
Not since Theodore Roosevelt ran against William Howard Taft in 1912 have voters gotten the opportunity to weigh the records of two men who have done the job of president. And despite holding intensely and similarly critical opinions both of President Biden and of his predecessor, Americans have much more positive views of Donald J. Trump’s policies than they do of Mr. Biden’s, according to New York Times/Siena College polls. Overall, 40 percent of voters said Mr. Trump’s policies had helped them personally, compared with just 18 percent who say the same about Mr. Biden’s policies. Instead, 43 percent of voters said Mr. Biden’s policies had hurt them, nearly double the share who said the same about Mr. Trump’s policies, the latest Times/Siena poll found. That presidents are frequently remembered more fondly once they leave office is nothing new.
Persons: Theodore Roosevelt, William Howard Taft, Biden, Donald J, Biden’s, Trump Organizations: New York Times, Mr, Gallup Locations: Siena
The Fox News and Wall Street Journal surveys both showed Trump with a two point lead over Biden, 49-47 and 47-45, respectively. In the CBS News/YouGov poll, Trump led by four points, 52-48, outside the poll's 2.8% margin of error. Across all four polls, Trump had a higher favorability rating than Biden did with respondents, although some were within the surveys' margins of error. In October of 2020, a Times/Siena polls found that 52% of respondents had a favorable view of Biden, while only 43% viewed then-President Trump favorably. The Biden and Trump campaigns did not immediately reply to requests for comment from CNBC on the apparent likability shift.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, Trump, Trump's Organizations: The New York Times, Siena College, Fox News, Street Journal, CBS, The Fox News, Wall Street, Trump, Times, Biden, CNBC, Street, New York Times Locations: Siena, Trump, U.S
But Trump and Biden’s turns in the spotlight this week will highlight their all-but-certain rematch, barring health crises or other surprise events. November’s election is already heaping pressure on political and electoral institutions, the Constitution and America’s fragile national unity. The move further delayed the ex-president’s federal criminal trial over election interference, which Trump – who is seeking to push off his trials past the 2024 election – touted as a win. Ahead of a likely general election clash, Trump’s appetite for testing the rule of law and the Constitution is undimmed. While leaders of both congressional chambers have reached a bipartisan spending deal, the tiny GOP House majority means any piece of legislation is a heavy lift.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden’s, Biden, Trump’s, he’s, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Nikki Haley, , . South Dakota Sen, John Thune, Mitch McConnell, he’ll, Haley, , GOP Sen, Markwayne Mullin, CNN’s Dana, there’s, wilder, “ Biden, White, , Mike Johnson Organizations: CNN, GOP, Colorado Supreme, Supreme, Super, Democratic, Trump, South Carolina Gov, Capitol, Republican, , Oklahoma, Biden, American, The New York Times, Siena College, Times, Street Journal, Hamas, MAGA ” Republicans Locations: Idaho, Missouri, Washington ,, . South Dakota, South Carolina, “ State, Greensboro , North Carolina, United States of America, Ukraine, Israel, Gaza, Michigan
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. However, the laborers behind the surging industry face conditions similar to those in the country's factories, facing low wages, long hours, and risky, repetitive work, according to numerous reports. Lu, a 19-year-old Meituan delivery driver in Guangzhou, told Nikkei Asia he earned just 7 yuan per delivery, less than a dollar. In the US, delivery drivers average $17.10 per hour, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. They "know it is impossible to deliver in the time expected by the platform," Tiziano Bonini from the University of Siena, who has been studying gig work in China, told the outlet.
Persons: , Lu, Meituan, Didi Chuxing, SCMP Organizations: Service, Nikkei Asia, Business, Economic Research, Wired, Bureau of Labor Statistics, China Morning, Ministry of Human Resources, Social Security, University of Siena Locations: China, Guangzhou, Guanzhou, Shanghai
Widespread concerns about President Biden’s age pose a deepening threat to his re-election bid, with a majority of voters who supported him in 2020 now saying he is too old to lead the country effectively, according to a new poll by The New York Times and Siena College. The survey pointed to a fundamental shift in how voters who backed Mr. Biden four years ago have come to see him. A striking 61 percent said they thought he was “just too old” to be an effective president. The misgivings about Mr. Biden’s age cut across generations, gender, race and education, underscoring the president’s failure to dispel both concerns within his own party and Republican attacks painting him as senile. Seventy-three percent of all registered voters said he was too old to be effective, and 45 percent expressed a belief that he could not do the job.
Persons: Biden’s, Biden Organizations: The New York Times, Siena College, Mr
A majority of likely voters think President Biden is too old to effectively serve in the White House. In the survey, 72% of likely voters either strongly agreed or somewhat agreed that Biden is too old to effectively serve in the White House. AdvertisementAmong Biden's 2020 supporters, roughly 40% said the president could effectively serve in office, according to the Times/Siena survey. In comparison, 42% of likely voters either strongly agreed or somewhat agreed that the 77-year-old Trump is too old to effectively serve in office for a second term. In a statement, Biden campaign communications director Michael Tyler said that recent polling "consistently overestimates Donald Trump while underestimating President Biden," Politico reported.
Persons: Biden, , Joe Biden, he's, Trump, Nikki Haley, Michael Tyler, Donald Trump, Tyler Organizations: New York Times, Siena College, Service, Democratic, Senate, Oval, Siena, Times, Biden, White, Trump, GOP, underestimating, Politico Locations: Siena
The election could be determined by "double haters," or voters who view both candidates negatively. In 2016, Trump won among "double haters." These voters are often called "double haters," as they'll have to choose between two candidates that they don't like. In 2016, Trump won among "double haters," as former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's once-high favorable ratings cratered during the campaign. AdvertisementIn the end, the "double haters" could end up saving Biden's presidency.
Persons: Biden, Trump, , Joe Biden, Donald Trump, It's, Hillary Clinton's, Biden —, Barack Obama — Organizations: Trump, Service, New York Times, Siena, Biden, Times, Capitol Locations: Siena, Israel
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